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  2. Monte Carlo method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_method

    Monte Carlo method: Pouring out a box of coins on a table, and then computing the ratio of coins that land heads versus tails is a Monte Carlo method of determining the behavior of repeated coin tosses, but it is not a simulation. Monte Carlo simulation: Drawing a large number of pseudo-random uniform variables from the interval [0,1] at one ...

  3. Monte Carlo methods for option pricing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_methods_for...

    Monte Carlo simulated stock price time series and random number generator (allows for choice of distribution), Steven Whitney; Discussion papers and documents. Monte Carlo Simulation, Prof. Don M. Chance, Louisiana State University; Pricing complex options using a simple Monte Carlo Simulation, Peter Fink (reprint at quantnotes.com)

  4. Markov chain Monte Carlo - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain_Monte_Carlo

    In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution.Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution.

  5. Monte Carlo methods in finance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_methods_in_finance

    When calculating the delta using a Monte Carlo method, the most straightforward way is the black-box technique consisting in doing a Monte Carlo on the original market data and another one on the changed market data, and calculate the risk by doing the difference. Instead, the importance sampling method consists in doing a Monte Carlo in an ...

  6. Asset/liability modeling - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asset/liability_modeling

    Proponents of Monte Carlo simulation contend that these tools are valuable because they offer simulation using randomly ordered returns based on a set of reasonable parameters. For example, the tool can model retirement cash flows 500 or 1,000 times, reflecting a range of possible outcomes.

  7. Cross-entropy method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-Entropy_Method

    The cross-entropy (CE) method is a Monte Carlo method for importance sampling and optimization. It is applicable to both combinatorial and continuous problems, with either a static or noisy objective. The method approximates the optimal importance sampling estimator by repeating two phases: [1] Draw a sample from a probability distribution.

  8. Variance reduction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance_reduction

    conditional Monte Carlo; and quasi random variables (in Quasi-Monte Carlo method) For simulation with black-box models subset simulation and line sampling can also be used. Under these headings are a variety of specialized techniques; for example, particle transport simulations make extensive use of "weight windows" and "splitting/Russian ...

  9. Kinetic Monte Carlo - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinetic_Monte_Carlo

    The kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) method is a Monte Carlo method computer simulation intended to simulate the time evolution of some processes occurring in nature. Typically these are processes that occur with known transition rates among states.

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