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  2. The 2024 election could come down to a single tipping ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/2024-election-could-come-down...

    Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages over former President Donald Trump — she wins in 57 in 100 simulations ...

  3. Who is winning 2024 US presidential election today? Current ...

    www.aol.com/winning-2024-us-presidential...

    ABC News project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2%.

  4. Who's leading in the US presidential polls? See Trump, Harris ...

    www.aol.com/whos-leading-us-presidential-polls...

    ABC News Project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270toWin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2%.

  5. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to

  6. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    Here’s what the latest polls say about the 2024 presidential election, ... The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump.

  7. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...

  8. Who is winning the 2024 presidential election? What national ...

    www.aol.com/winning-2024-presidential-election...

    ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to Trump's 45.9% versus the very close Pennsylvania poll that has Harris at 47.8% and Trump at 47.3%

  9. 2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump

    www.aol.com/entertainment/2024-polls-were...

    According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...