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Trafalgar's polling numbers were considerably off in the 2022 United States midterm elections. [17] Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as Mehmet Oz, Herschel Walker, Kari Lake, Tudor Dixon, Adam Laxalt, Blake Masters, Christine Drazan, and Tim Michels would all win. [18]
In September 2022, Cahaly, in an interview with Split Ticket, acknowledged methodological changes from his polling of the 2020 United States elections. [19] The Trafalgar Group's polling numbers were mostly inaccurate in the 2022 United States midterm elections. [20] Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as ...
In December 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court rejected the presidential eligibility of Donald Trump, the former president of the United States and a candidate in the 2024 presidential election, on the basis of his actions during the January 6 Capitol attack.
In an unexpected turn of events, a recent poll out of Iowa, once predicted to go to Trump in the 2024 election, shows Harris with a slight advantage over the Republican nominee.
This is a list of notable polling organizations by country. All the major television networks, alone or in conjunction with the largest newspapers or magazines, in virtually every country with elections, operate their own versions of polling operations, in collaboration or independently through various applications.
An historic switch in the presidential ticket. A polling shift. And a still-undefined nominee. That’s the backdrop to this week’s Democratic convention.
Two words sum up the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with fewer than 10 weeks to go until Election Day: changed and close.
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...