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  2. Life-threatening flash flooding, historic rainfall possible ...

    www.aol.com/news/life-threatening-flash-flooding...

    Extreme southern California (including San Diego metro area) is forecast to pick up 1 to 3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts up to 5 inches.

  3. Probability of precipitation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_of_precipitation

    The Weather Channel's definition may include precipitation amounts below 0.01 inch (0.254 mm) and includes the chance of precipitation 3 hours before or after the forecast period. This latter change was described as less objective and more consumer-centric. [5] The Weather Channel has an observed wet bias – the probability of precipitation is ...

  4. The winter storm is currently spreading rain and mountain snow into the Pacific Northwest and Rockies. ... Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, ... Probability Of 0.10" Or Greater Icing.

  5. Another stormy week for California as two atmospheric rivers ...

    www.aol.com/another-stormy-week-california-two...

    The second storm hits Southern California on Monday, with heavy rain likely from San Luis Obispo into Los Angeles. ... In addition to the heavy rain, it is forecast to snow 1-2 feet in the Sierras ...

  6. Quantitative precipitation forecast - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_precipitation...

    Within the United States, the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, [20] River Forecast Centers, [1] and local forecast offices within the National Weather Service create precipitation forecasts for up to five days in the future, [21] forecasting amounts equal to or greater than 0.01 inches (0.25 mm). Starting in the mid-to-late 1990s, QPFs ...

  7. Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_forecasting

    Probabilistic forecasting summarizes what is known about, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at a given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius, or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different ...

  8. Christmas trouble? Snow in the Northeast, rain along ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/christmas-trouble-snow-northeast...

    "With a warmer climate, it is likely that more winter precipitation will fall as rain rather than snow in many parts of the country," said a 2021 report from Climate Central, a nonprofit science ...

  9. Forecast verification - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forecast_verification

    A "persistence" forecast can still rival even those of the most sophisticated models. An example is: "What is the weather going to be like today? Same as it was yesterday." This could be considered analogous to a "control" experiment. Another example would be a climatological forecast: "What is the weather going to be like today? The same as it ...