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The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
YouGov produced a poll of seats in South West England that had elected a Conservative MP in every election since the 2015 general election and where a majority of voters were estimated to have voted to leave the European Union in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. They branded these seats the "Conservative Celtic Fringe".
In February 2024, FiveThirtyEight ranked YouGov as fourth out of more than 300 pollsters in its ratings, based on analysis of 624 YouGov polls. [36] YouGov's polling results have been found to be notably more accurate than those of other online pollsters relying on nonprobability sampling instead of random sampling.
The poll also suggested Labour might hold onto just 11 of the 39 rural seats it holds. Overall, of Labour’s 49 rural constituencies, it was suggested the party could lose 36 and hold on to just ...
You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. If a pollster has a 3.0 rating, you should take it pretty seriously; if it has a 0.5 rating, it's not very reliable ...
On prior Yahoo News/YouGov surveys conducted from November 2023 to July 2024 — when Biden was on the ballot — an equal number of Kennedy voters identified as Democrats and Republicans.
At various dates in the run up to the 2024 general election on 4 July 2024, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
A YouGov snap poll after the debate indicated that 46% of debate viewers thought Sunak had performed better, and 45% believed Starmer had performed better. [316] A Savanta poll published the next day favoured Starmer 44% to Sunak 39%. [317] The debate was watched by 5.37 million viewers, making it the most-viewed programme of the week. [318]