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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
It provides data and maps for presidential, [2] congressional, [3] and gubernatorial elections. [4] Despite the general media coloring Democrats as blue and Republicans as red ( blue and red states ), the Atlas website follows international conventions and uses blue for the more right-leaning Republicans and red for the more left-leaning Democrats.
[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [3]
When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
With Marco Rubio out, the question is, how would Donald Trump and Ted Cruz fare matched up against Hillary Clinton?
Map showing the borders of the Balkan states before and after both Balkan Wars.. The League of the Balkans was a quadruple alliance formed by a series of bilateral treaties concluded in 1912 between the Eastern Orthodox kingdoms of Greece, Bulgaria, Serbia and Montenegro, and directed against the Ottoman Empire, [1] which still controlled much of Southeastern Europe.
2016 was a year filled with twists, turns, 3 a.m. tweets and incorrect predictions -- mostly incorrectly betting against Donald Trump. The worst 2016 election predictions of the year Skip to main ...
The 1914 midterm elections became the first year that all regular Senate elections were held in even-numbered years, coinciding with the House elections. The ratification of the Seventeenth Amendment to the United States Constitution in 1913 established the direct election of senators, instead of having them elected directly by state ...