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The latest poll from the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, co-sponsored by The Times, found that if Harris enters California's crowded 2026 gubernatorial race, nearly half of voters ...
Election 2024 live updates: ... Harris 45% in latest Wall Street Journal poll. ... The data was taken from a poll that surveyed 5,308 registered voters from Oct. 16 to Oct. 20 in Arizona, Georgia ...
The poll delivered bad news to another Californian — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Fifty-nine percent of likely voters surveyed in the state had an unfavorable view of the independent presidential ...
In the election Harris indeed carried California by just over 20 points with more than 9.2 million votes. Nevertheless, her margin was noticeably smaller than Joe Biden 's 29-point win in 2020 , a trend observed in other blue states such as Massachusetts , New York and Illinois , all of which witnessed a decline in Democratic voter turnout. [ 4 ]
In swing states, where Biden doesn't have a big Democratic cushion to protect him, the impact of independent and third-party candidates could be enough to swing the outcome to Trump.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
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