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"Dewey Defeats Truman" was an erroneous banner headline on the front page of the early editions of the Chicago Daily Tribune (later Chicago Tribune) on November 3, 1948, the day after incumbent United States president Harry S. Truman won an upset victory over his opponent, Governor Thomas E. Dewey of New York, in the 1948 presidential election.
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 2, 1948. Incumbent Democratic President Harry S. Truman defeated heavily favored Republican New York Governor Thomas E. Dewey, and third-party candidates, becoming the third president to succeed to the presidency upon his predecessor's death and be elected to a full term.
Original – On November 4, 1948, President Harry S. Truman holds a copy of the Chicago Daily Tribune with the headline "Dewey Defeats Truman." Despite his expected loss to Thomas E. Dewey in the 1948 United States presidential election, Truman won, and the Tribune had already printed their headline anticipating Truman would lose. Reason
In the 1948 election, ... "Dewey Defeats Truman." Credit - Bettmann Archive/Getty Images ... “Willard had dreams of how he was going to beat everybody on Dewey,” Gale Kiplinger, the journalist ...
Carroll County had long been the most Republican county in New Hampshire, voting 60% against FDR all four times, and would vote over 70% for Thomas E. Dewey. As Truman narrowly won an upset victory over Dewey nationally, New Hampshire's result would make the state about ten percentage points more Republican than the national average.
While broad and superficial similarities may be detected between Biden-Trump in 2024 and Truman-Dewey in 1948, the two cases are in fact quite dissimilar.
Truman carried the state with 54.66% of the vote to Dewey's 43.16%, a Democratic victory margin of 11.50%. Progressive Party candidate Henry A. Wallace came in a distant third, with 1.81%. As Truman narrowly won an upset victory over Dewey nationally, Massachusetts weighed in as 7% more Democratic than the national average.
The comparisons are undeniable and offer lessons for both President Joe Biden and his apparent Republican nominee, former President Donald Trump.