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Likelihood Ratio: An example "test" is that the physical exam finding of bulging flanks has a positive likelihood ratio of 2.0 for ascites. Estimated change in probability: Based on table above, a likelihood ratio of 2.0 corresponds to an approximately +15% increase in probability.
The positive predictive value (PPV), or precision, is defined as = + = where a "true positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a positive result under the gold standard, and a "false positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a negative result under the gold standard.
Diagram relating pre- and post-test probabilities, with the green curve (upper left half) representing a positive test, and the red curve (lower right half) representing a negative test, for the case of 90% sensitivity and 90% specificity, corresponding to a likelihood ratio positive of 9, and a likelihood ratio negative of 0.111.
The false positive rate (FPR) is the proportion of all negatives that still yield positive test outcomes, i.e., the conditional probability of a positive test result given an event that was not present. The false positive rate is equal to the significance level. The specificity of the test is equal to 1 minus the false positive rate.
Positive and negative predictive value: Software used: Graphic App: Conversion program: macOS Versione 10.15.7 (Build 19H114) Quartz PDFContext: Encrypted: no: Page size: 1024 x 768 pts: Version of PDF format: 1.3
The likelihood ratio is central to likelihoodist statistics: the law of likelihood states that the degree to which data (considered as evidence) supports one parameter value versus another is measured by the likelihood ratio. In frequentist inference, the likelihood ratio is the basis for a test statistic, the so-called likelihood-ratio test.
Thus the likelihood-ratio test tests whether this ratio is significantly different from one, or equivalently whether its natural logarithm is significantly different from zero. The likelihood-ratio test, also known as Wilks test , [ 2 ] is the oldest of the three classical approaches to hypothesis testing, together with the Lagrange multiplier ...
True positive rate (TPR), Recall, Sensitivity (SEN), probability of detection, Power = Σ True positive / Σ Condition positive False positive rate (FPR), Fall-out, probability of false alarm = Σ False positive / Σ Condition negative Positive likelihood ratio (LR+) = TPR / FPR Diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) = LR+ / LR ...