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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Allan Lichtman, who predicted 9 of 10 elections, told USA TODAY he was taking time to assess why he was wrong. ... who lost the 2020 election that thrust President Joe Biden into the seat ...
Lichtman’s prediction system has correctly called almost every presidential election since 1984 — the exception ... Lichtman successfully foretold that Trump would win in 2016 and lose in 2020.
Renowned Professor of History Allan Lichtman made waves when he predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris would be the 47th U.S. president.. His prediction flew in the face of recent polling ...
The model has been built up over 41 elections," Lichtman said. He said his predictions, which have often gone against most political pundits, are still a more efficient indicator than other models.
Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973. He is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.
Lichtman predicted last month that Vice President Kamala Harris would win. He based his prediction off thirteen keys, or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and ...
Lichtman has come under fire for his predictions, notably with political pollster Nate Silver last month calling the American University modern history professor's keys "totally arbitrary" in a ...