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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
What the polls say about the 2024 election. 538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times’s Ruth Igielnik discuss the latest polling data showing an extremely close presidential race.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls.
Who’s ahead in the national Republican primary polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Do Americans approve or disapprove of Joe Biden? In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.
Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.