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This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party only stand candidates in Scotland. Due to rounding total figures might not add up to 100%.
"Green" in these tables refers to combined totals for the green parties in the United Kingdom, namely the Green Party of England and Wales, the Scottish Greens, and, for polls of the entire UK, the Green Party Northern Ireland. The three parties share a commitment to environmental policies, but are independent of one another, with each ...
Electoral Calculus was founded and is run by Martin Baxter, [1] who was a financial analyst specialising in mathematical modelling. [2] The Electoral Calculus website includes election data, predictions and analysis. It has separate sections for elections in Scotland and in Northern Ireland. [3]
The UK uses a first-past-the-post voting system. The swing (in percentage points) is the percentage of voter support minus the comparative percentage of voter support corresponding to the same electorate or demographic. The swing is calculated by comparing the percentage of voter support from one election to another.
Reform UK achieved the third-highest vote share at 14.3%, with over four million votes, which won it five seats, and the Green Party of England and Wales won four seats, with over 1.8 million votes; both parties achieved their best parliamentary results so far in terms of both votes and seats.
Reform UK placed third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time. [12] Farage and his party Reform UK have done well in opinion polls in expense of both Labour and the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats made significant gains to reach their highest ever number of seats.
UK Independence Party: Nick Tenconi (interim) 24 0 0 0 0.0 6,530 0.02 0.1 Liberal Party: Steve Radford 12 0 0 0 0.0 6,375 0.02 Ashfield Independents: Jason Zadrozny: 1 0 0 0 0.0 6,276 0.02 Monster Raving Loony: Howling Laud Hope: 22 0 0 0 0.0 5,814 0.02 Christian Peoples Alliance: Sidney Cordle 22 0 0 0 0.0 5,604 0.02 Scottish Family: Richard ...
Prior to 1945, electoral competition in the United Kingdom exhibited features which make meaningful comparisons with modern results difficult. Hence, unless otherwise stated, records are based on results since the 1945 general election, and earlier exceptional results are listed separately.