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  2. Rational expectations - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_expectations

    The model suggests that individuals adjust their expectations in response to changes in the money supply, which eliminates the effect on real variables such as output and employment. He argues that a stable monetary policy that is consistent with individuals' rational expectations will be more effective in promoting economic stability than ...

  3. Allais paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allais_paradox

    The zero effect is a slight adjustment to the certainty effect that states individuals will appeal to the lottery that doesn't have the possibility of winning nothing (aversion to zero). During prior Allais style tasks that involve two experiments with four lotteries, the only lottery without a possible outcome of zero was the zero-variance ...

  4. Economics in One Lesson - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_in_One_Lesson

    The difference between good and bad economics lies in the ability to look beyond the immediate effects and consider the longer-term and indirect consequences for all groups. Nine-tenths of economic fallacies arise from ignoring this lesson.

  5. Expected utility hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_utility_hypothesis

    He proposed that a nonlinear function of the utility of an outcome should be used instead of the expected value of an outcome, accounting for risk aversion, where the risk premium is higher for low-probability events than the difference between the payout level of a particular outcome and its expected value. Bernoulli further proposed that it ...

  6. Rational choice model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_choice_model

    Individuals make no difference to the outcome, “much as single molecules make no difference to the properties of the gas" [citation needed] (Herbert, G). This is a weakness of rational choice theory as it shows that in situations such as voting in an election, the rational decision for the individual would be to not vote as their vote makes ...

  7. Causality - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causality

    Causality is an influence by which one event, process, state, or object (a cause) contributes to the production of another event, process, state, or object (an effect) where the cause is at least partly responsible for the effect, and the effect is at least partly dependent on the cause. [1]

  8. The best-case scenario for the economy has become more plausible

    www.aol.com/news/best-case-scenario-economy...

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  9. Positive and normative economics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_normative...

    Positive economics as a science concerns the investigation of economic behavior. [4] It deals with empirical facts as well as cause-and-effect relationships. It emphasizes that economic theories must be consistent with existing observations and produce precise, verifiable predictions about the phenomena under investigation.