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  2. Monte Carlo methods in finance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_methods_in_finance

    Essentially, the Monte Carlo method solves a problem by directly simulating the underlying (physical) process and then calculating the (average) result of the process. [ 1 ] This very general approach is valid in areas such as physics, chemistry, computer science etc. In finance, the Monte Carlo method is used to simulate the various sources of ...

  3. Monte Carlo methods for option pricing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_methods_for...

    Contents. Monte Carlo methods for option pricing. In mathematical finance, a Monte Carlo option model uses Monte Carlo methods [ Notes 1 ] to calculate the value of an option with multiple sources of uncertainty or with complicated features. [ 1 ] The first application to option pricing was by Phelim Boyle in 1977 (for European options).

  4. Monte Carlo method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_method

    Monte Carlo method: Pouring out a box of coins on a table, and then computing the ratio of coins that land heads versus tails is a Monte Carlo method of determining the behavior of repeated coin tosses, but it is not a simulation. Monte Carlo simulation: Drawing a large number of pseudo-random uniform variables from the interval [0,1] at one ...

  5. Stochastic simulation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_simulation

    A stochastic simulation is a simulation of a system that has variables that can change stochastically (randomly) with individual probabilities. [1] Realizations of these random variables are generated and inserted into a model of the system. Outputs of the model are recorded, and then the process is repeated with a new set of random values.

  6. Ensemble forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_forecasting

    Ensemble forecasting is a form of Monte Carlo analysis. The multiple simulations are conducted to account for the two usual sources of uncertainty in forecast models: (1) the errors introduced by the use of imperfect initial conditions, amplified by the chaotic nature of the evolution equations of the atmosphere, which is often referred to as ...

  7. Sensitivity analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensitivity_analysis

    Sensitivity analysis. Sensitivity analysis is the study of how the uncertainty in the output of a mathematical model or system (numerical or otherwise) can be divided and allocated to different sources of uncertainty in its inputs. [1][2] This involves estimating sensitivity indices that quantify the influence of an input or group of inputs on ...

  8. Cholesky decomposition - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cholesky_decomposition

    In linear algebra, the Cholesky decomposition or Cholesky factorization (pronounced / ʃ ə ˈ l ɛ s k i / shə-LES-kee) is a decomposition of a Hermitian, positive-definite matrix into the product of a lower triangular matrix and its conjugate transpose, which is useful for efficient numerical solutions, e.g., Monte Carlo simulations.

  9. Rejection sampling - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rejection_sampling

    Computational statistics technique. In numerical analysis and computational statistics, rejection samplingis a basic technique used to generate observations from a distribution. It is also commonly called the acceptance-rejection methodor "accept-reject algorithm" and is a type of exact simulation method.