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Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
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Overall, the survey finds that fewer than half of Americans – 44% — have “a great deal” or “quite a bit” of confidence that the votes in the next presidential election will be counted ...
AP VoteCast is a survey of American voters administered by NORC at the University of Chicago for media networks The Associated Press (AP) and Fox News. The survey was created by the AP and NORC as a new way to survey voters. The AP, Fox News, and many other news outlets use the data for election night coverage.
A paper from the MIT Election Lab showed that in 2020, 10.8% of the total official vote was “overtime vote” – tallied beyond what was reported in the morning edition of The New York Times on ...
Pew has also found the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump's performance was significantly underestimated.
The American National Election Studies (ANES) are academically-run national surveys of voters in the United States, conducted before and after every presidential election. Although it was formally established by a National Science Foundation grant in 1977, the data are a continuation of studies going back to 1948. [ 1 ]
The survey was conducted between Oct. 21 and Oct. 26. Election Day 2024 is days away. Sign up for USA TODAY's On Politics newsletter for breaking news and exclusive analysis.