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French curve extrapolation is a method suitable for any distribution that has a tendency to be exponential, but with accelerating or decelerating factors. [3] This method has been used successfully in providing forecast projections of the growth of HIV/AIDS in the UK since 1987 and variant CJD in the UK for a number of years.
Curve fitting [1] [2] is the process of constructing a curve, or mathematical function, that has the best fit to a series of data points, [3] possibly subject to constraints. [ 4 ] [ 5 ] Curve fitting can involve either interpolation , [ 6 ] [ 7 ] where an exact fit to the data is required, or smoothing , [ 8 ] [ 9 ] in which a "smooth ...
The term extrapolation is used to find data points outside the range of known data points. In curve fitting problems, the constraint that the interpolant has to go exactly through the data points is relaxed. It is only required to approach the data points as closely as possible (within some other constraints).
To estimate the area under a curve the trapezoid rule is applied first to one-piece, then two, then four, and so on. One-piece. Note since it starts and ends at zero, this approximation yields zero area. Two-piece Four-piece Eight-piece. After trapezoid rule estimates are obtained, Richardson extrapolation is applied.
Although the polynomial function is a perfect fit, the linear function can be expected to generalize better: If the two functions were used to extrapolate beyond the fitted data, the linear function should make better predictions. Figure 3. The blue dashed line represents an underfitted model. A straight line can never fit a parabola.
It is natural to ask what the result would be if the step size were allowed to approach zero. This can be answered by extrapolating the result from two or more nonzero step sizes, using series acceleration methods such as Richardson extrapolation. The extrapolation function may be a polynomial or rational function.
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In numerical analysis, Richardson extrapolation is a sequence acceleration method used to improve the rate of convergence of a sequence of estimates of some value = (). In essence, given the value of A ( h ) {\displaystyle A(h)} for several values of h {\displaystyle h} , we can estimate A ∗ {\displaystyle A^{\ast }} by extrapolating the ...