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The founder of J.L. Partners, one of the few polling firms to accurately predict Donald Trump’s victory in the popular vote, gave a clearer explanation (but an old one) to Newsweek.
That poll ended up being wrong, as Trump is currently holding onto a 13-point lead in the state, but other Iowa pollsters got it much closer, pegging Trump’s winning margin in the high single ...
The poll was seen as a likely outlier at the time — but even so, its miss is notable: Trump ended up winning the state by 13 points. Selzer said after the election that she’s reviewing the ...
It excluded a Rasmussen poll that had Trump up 3 points — so off by 1.3 points to the positive for Trump but still a little over 50% closer to the actual results than the Times average. RCP ...
On Truth Social Sunday morning, Trump touted his support for Iowa farmers and denigrated the poll for being conducted by "a Trump hater who called it totally wrong the last time." But the Iowa ...
Franklin said those changes may be why his poll underestimated Trump's margin by about 2 points this year, compared to a 4-point miss in 2020. The survey non-response problem also predates Trump's ...
Pollsters systematically underestimated President Trump’s support — again. And this time, they missed by an even bigger margin than in 2016. Why election polls were wrong about Trump again [Video]
Those results were within our poll's margin of error, meaning we were correct to declare it "too close to call" — and we would have been wrong to say Clinton was ahead. 2024 will be a close election