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  2. Opinion poll - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_poll

    An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election), is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or ...

  3. Misuse of statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Misuse_of_statistics

    In practice, many opinion polls are conducted by phone, which distorts the sample in several ways, including exclusion of people who do not have phones, favoring the inclusion of people who have more than one phone, favoring the inclusion of people who are willing to participate in a phone survey over those who refuse, etc. Non-random sampling ...

  4. Long before Polymarket, election polls and predictions were ...

    www.aol.com/finance/long-polymarket-election...

    The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research for example has noted: “Unscientific pseudo-polls are widespread and sometimes entertaining, but they never provide the kind of information that ...

  5. Self-selection bias - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-selection_bias

    In statistics, self-selection bias arises in any situation in which individuals select themselves into a group, causing a biased sample with nonprobability sampling.It is commonly used to describe situations where the characteristics of the people which cause them to select themselves in the group create abnormal or undesirable conditions in the group.

  6. Opinion: Why the margin of error matters in the 2024 election ...

    www.aol.com/opinion-why-margin-error-matters...

    The 95% confidence interval means that 95% of the time, those other polls' responses would be within 3 percentage points of the answers reported in this one poll. Comparing support between candidates

  7. Opinion - Were the polls right? It’s complicated.

    www.aol.com/news/opinion-were-polls-complicated...

    Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.

  8. Huffington Post / YouGov Public Opinion Polls

    data.huffingtonpost.com/yougov/methodology

    Many interpret the “margin of error,” commonly reported for public opinion polls, as accounting for all potential errors from a survey. It does not. There are many non-sampling errors, common to all surveys, that can include effects due to question wording and misreporting by respondents.

  9. Negative campaigning - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_campaigning

    Negative campaigning is the process of deliberately spreading negative information about someone or something to worsen the public image of the described. A colloquial, and somewhat more derogatory, term for the practice is mudslinging.