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  2. Economic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_forecasting

    The Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. [8] The IMF publishes the World Economic Outlook report twice annually, which provides comprehensive global coverage. [9] The IMF and World Bank also produces Regional Economic Outlook for various parts of the world. [10]

  3. Incremental capital-output ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incremental_capital-output...

    According to this formula the incremental capital output ratio can be computed by dividing the investment share in GDP by the rate of growth of GDP. As an example, if the level of investment (as a share of GDP) in a developing country had been (approximately) 20% over a particular period, and if the growth rate of GDP had been (approximately) 5 ...

  4. Economic growth - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_growth

    The economic growth rate is typically calculated as real Gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate, real GDP per capita growth rate or GNI per capita growth. The "rate" of economic growth refers to the geometric annual rate of growth in GDP or GDP per capita between the first and the last year over a period of time. This growth rate represents ...

  5. Total factor productivity - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_factor_productivity

    Total factor productivity (TFP) is often considered the primary contributor to GDP growth rate. Other contributing factors include labor inputs, human capital, and physical capital. Total factor productivity measures residual growth in total output of a firm, industry or national economy that cannot be explained by the accumulation of ...

  6. Real gross domestic product - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_gross_domestic_product

    Real GDP is an example of the distinction between real and nominal values in economics.Nominal gross domestic product is defined as the market value of all final goods produced in a geographical region, usually a country; this depends on the quantities of goods and services produced, and their respective prices.

  7. Simple linear regression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simple_linear_regression

    The formulas given in the previous section allow one to calculate the point estimates of α and β — that is, the coefficients of the regression line for the given set of data. However, those formulas do not tell us how precise the estimates are, i.e., how much the estimators α ^ {\displaystyle {\widehat {\alpha }}} and β ^ {\displaystyle ...

  8. Ordinary least squares - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ordinary_least_squares

    In statistics, ordinary least squares (OLS) is a type of linear least squares method for choosing the unknown parameters in a linear regression model (with fixed level-one [clarification needed] effects of a linear function of a set of explanatory variables) by the principle of least squares: minimizing the sum of the squares of the differences between the observed dependent variable (values ...

  9. Survey of Professional Forecasters - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survey_of_Professional...

    SPF has been used in academic research on forecast accuracy and forecast bias. [4] [7] [8] A 1997 analysis of density forecasts of inflation made in the SPF finds: "The probability of a large negative inflation shock is generally overestimated, and in more recent years the probability of a large shock of either sign is overestimated.