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  2. Expected value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

    Since the probabilities must satisfy p 1 + ⋅⋅⋅ + p k = 1, it is natural to interpret E[X] as a weighted average of the x i values, with weights given by their probabilities p i. In the special case that all possible outcomes are equiprobable (that is, p 1 = ⋅⋅⋅ = p k), the weighted average is given by the standard average. In the ...

  3. p-value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value

    Free online p-values calculators for various specific tests (chi-square, Fisher's F-test, etc.). Understanding p-values, including a Java applet that illustrates how the numerical values of p-values can give quite misleading impressions about the truth or falsity of the hypothesis under test. on YouTube

  4. Statistical hypothesis test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_hypothesis_test

    The p-value is the probability that a test statistic which is at least as extreme as the one obtained would occur under the null hypothesis. At a significance level of 0.05, a fair coin would be expected to (incorrectly) reject the null hypothesis (that it is fair) in 1 out of 20 tests on average.

  5. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    P (A), the prior, is the initial degree of belief in A. P (A | B), the posterior, is the degree of belief after incorporating news that B is true. the quotient ⁠ P(B | A) / P(B) ⁠ represents the support B provides for A. For more on the application of Bayes' theorem under the Bayesian interpretation of probability, see Bayesian inference.

  6. Statistical significance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_significance

    For the null hypothesis to be rejected, an observed result has to be statistically significant, i.e. the observed p-value is less than the pre-specified significance level . To determine whether a result is statistically significant, a researcher calculates a p -value, which is the probability of observing an effect of the same magnitude or ...

  7. Sample size determination - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sample_size_determination

    The maximum variance of this distribution is 0.25, which occurs when the true parameter is p = 0.5. In practical applications, where the true parameter p is unknown, the maximum variance is often employed for sample size assessments. If a reasonable estimate for p is known the quantity () may be used in place of 0.25.

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  9. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    The opposite or complement of an event A is the event [not A] (that is, the event of A not occurring), often denoted as ′,, ¯,,, or ; its probability is given by P(not A) = 1 − P(A). [31] As an example, the chance of not rolling a six on a six-sided die is 1 – (chance of rolling a six) = 1 − ⁠ 1 / 6 ⁠ = ⁠ 5 / 6 ⁠ .