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Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 chief Nate Silver, puts Harris’ polling average at 47.1%, 2.5 points ahead of Trump’s 44.6%, as of its latest update on Aug. 18.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
An average of recent North Carolina polls collected by RealClearPolitics shows Trump with a lead of 2.4 percentage points over Harris. Those polls were all conducted between July 19 and Aug. 8.
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
44%. Actual result. 60.80%. 36.54%. Difference between actual result and final poll. +4.80%. -7.46%. After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical ...
It’s the third consecutive week that the poll has shown Harris ahead of Trump. According to the latest NPR/PBS News/Marist National Poll, Harris leads Trump by three percentage points with 51 ...
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump. As of August 15, the RealClearPolitics polling average shows Trump leading in Georgia with a spread of +0.6. The average shows Trump with 47.9%, compared with Harris at 47.3%, in the state. [ n ][ 70 ] Poll source. Date (s) administered.
Dates and venues for three 2024 presidential debates announced. Trump leads Biden in new poll as Israel conflict fuels criticism. 18:30, John Bowden. A new poll from NBC News this weekend shows ...