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The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
The latest numbers represent a small swing towards Trump since The Wall Street Journal's last poll in August, which showed a 47%-45% advantage for Harris. Trump 48%, Harris 46% in latest CNBC poll
Real Clear Politics' average of New Mexico polls has Harris with a solid lead over Trump, 49.7% to 42.3%. New Mexico has only 5 electoral votes, but that could be enough to decide a close election ...
The 2024 race for the White House is set to be neck-and-neck up to Election Day. In Real Clear Politics' average of national polls, Trump leads Harris by just 0.2 percentage points, well within ...
The New York Times also said that "Real Clear became one of the most prominent platforms for elevating unverified and reckless stories about the president's political opponents, through a mix of its own content and articles from across conservative media...." and that for days after the election, "Real Clear Politics gave top billing to stories ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
Election Day 2024 is here, and Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in the polls. In Real Clear Politics' average of national surveys, Trump leads Harris by 0.1 percentage point, well within the ...
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