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  2. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    In his first paper on Markov chains, published in 1906, Markov showed that under certain conditions the average outcomes of the Markov chain would converge to a fixed vector of values, so proving a weak law of large numbers without the independence assumption, [16] [17] [18] which had been commonly regarded as a requirement for such ...

  3. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix.

  4. Stochastic matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_matrix

    A substochastic matrix is a real square matrix whose row sums are all ; In the same vein, one may define a probability vector as a vector whose elements are nonnegative real numbers which sum to 1. Thus, each row of a right stochastic matrix (or column of a left stochastic matrix) is a probability vector.

  5. Transition-rate matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transition-rate_matrix

    and therefore the rows of the matrix sum to zero. Up to a global sign, a large class of examples of such matrices is provided by the Laplacian of a directed, weighted graph. The vertices of the graph correspond to the Markov chain's states.

  6. Balance equation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_equation

    For a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) with transition rate matrix, if can be found such that for every pair of states and = holds, then by summing over , the global balance equations are satisfied and is the stationary distribution of the process. [5]

  7. Additive Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Additive_Markov_chain

    In probability theory, an additive Markov chain is a Markov chain with an additive conditional probability function. Here the process is a discrete-time Markov chain of order m and the transition probability to a state at the next time is a sum of functions, each depending on the next state and one of the m previous states.

  8. Discrete-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discrete-time_Markov_chain

    A Markov chain with two states, A and E. In probability, a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) is a sequence of random variables, known as a stochastic process, in which the value of the next variable depends only on the value of the current variable, and not any variables in the past.

  9. Markov chain tree theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain_tree_theorem

    A finite Markov chain consists of a finite set of states, and a transition probability , for changing from state to state , such that for each state the outgoing transition probabilities sum to one. From an initial choice of state (which turns out to be irrelevant to this problem), each successive state is chosen at random according to the ...