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  2. Transition-rate matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transition-rate_matrix

    In probability theory, a transition-rate matrix (also known as a Q-matrix, [1] intensity matrix, [2] or infinitesimal generator matrix [3]) is an array of numbers describing the instantaneous rate at which a continuous-time Markov chain transitions between states.

  3. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    A Markov chain is a type of Markov process that has either a discrete state space or a discrete index set (often representing time), but the precise definition of a Markov chain varies. [6] For example, it is common to define a Markov chain as a Markov process in either discrete or continuous time with a countable state space (thus regardless ...

  4. Markov model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_model

    For example, a series of simple observations, such as a person's location in a room, can be interpreted to determine more complex information, such as in what task or activity the person is performing. Two kinds of Hierarchical Markov Models are the Hierarchical hidden Markov model [2] and the Abstract Hidden Markov Model. [3]

  5. Markov chain Monte Carlo - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain_Monte_Carlo

    In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution.Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution.

  6. Markovian arrival process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markovian_arrival_process

    The Markov-modulated Poisson process or MMPP where m Poisson processes are switched between by an underlying continuous-time Markov chain. [8] If each of the m Poisson processes has rate λ i and the modulating continuous-time Markov has m × m transition rate matrix R , then the MAP representation is

  7. Balance equation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_equation

    For a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) with transition rate matrix, if can be found such that for every pair of states and π i q i j = π j q j i {\displaystyle \pi _{i}q_{ij}=\pi _{j}q_{ji}} holds, then by summing over j {\displaystyle j} , the global balance equations are satisfied and π {\displaystyle \pi } is the stationary ...

  8. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix. An equivalent formulation describes the process as changing state according to ...

  9. Examples of Markov chains - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Examples_of_Markov_chains

    A game of snakes and ladders or any other game whose moves are determined entirely by dice is a Markov chain, indeed, an absorbing Markov chain. This is in contrast to card games such as blackjack, where the cards represent a 'memory' of the past moves. To see the difference, consider the probability for a certain event in the game.