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When Prophecy Fails: A Social and Psychological Study of a Modern Group That Predicted the Destruction of the World is a classic work of social psychology by Leon Festinger, Henry Riecken, and Stanley Schachter, published in 1956, detailing a study of a small UFO religion in Chicago called the Seekers that believed in an imminent apocalypse.
Disconfirmed expectancy is a psychological term for what is commonly known as a failed prophecy.According to the American social psychologist Leon Festinger's theory of cognitive dissonance, disconfirmed expectancies create a state of psychological discomfort because the outcome contradicts expectancy.
The theory was proposed by Leon Festinger to describe the formation of new beliefs and increased proselytizing in order to reduce the tension, or dissonance, that results from failed prophecies. [46] According to the theory, believers experienced tension following the failure of Jesus's reappearance in 1844, which led to a variety of new ...
One account stated that Clarke's laws were developed after the editor of his works in French started numbering the author's assertions. [2] All three laws appear in Clarke's essay "Hazards of Prophecy: The Failure of Imagination", first published in Profiles of the Future (1962); [3] however, they were not all published at the same time.
Knowledge Elite and the Failure of Prophecy is a 1985 book by Eva Etzioni-Halevy in which the author studies intellectual knowledge in contemporary societies. Eliška Freiová, Bryan S. Turner , and George Becker have reviewed the book.
Another source reports: "When the prophecy failed, the Anabaptists became more zealous and claimed that two witnesses (Enoch and Elijah) had come in the form of Jan Matthys and Jan Bockelson; they would set up the New Jerusalem in Münster. Münster became a frightening dictatorship under Bockelson's control.
In 1958, Leon Festinger published a study of a group with cataclysmic predictions: When Prophecy Fails: A Social and Psychological Study of a Modern Group that Predicted the Destruction of the World. The phenomenon of continued commitment to the "doomsday cult", even after the prophecy fails, has been attributed to the coping method of ...
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