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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Now, 538’s forecast assumes that electoral votes will go to the candidate who has won them based on the election results — but that’s not a 100-percent given.
The Electoral College meeting occurs on the Tuesday after the second Wednesday in December, which was December 17 in 2024. Each state’s electors meet in their state and cast their votes.
The 2024 presidential election will come to an end in a matter of days. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remain locked in a dead heat in national and battleground ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The Electoral College was officially selected as the means of electing president towards the end of the Constitutional Convention, due to pressure from slave states wanting to increase their voting power, since they could count slaves as 3/5 of a person when allocating electors, and by small states who increased their power given the minimum of ...
Several sites have created election forecast models to gauge how likely it is for either candidate to reach the 270 electoral college votes to win. Forecasts by 538 and Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ...
But because of its winner-take-all nature, the Electoral College isn't a good measure of closeness. Imagine an election where one candidate wins every state and district 50.1 percent to 49.9 percent.