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99942 Apophis (provisional designation 2004 MN 4) is a near-Earth asteroid and a potentially hazardous object, 450 metres (1,480 ft) by 170 metres (560 ft) in size, [3] that caused a brief period of concern in December 2004 when initial observations indicated a probability of 2.7% that it would hit Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029.
2026 Cottrell, provisional designation 1955 FF, is a dark asteroid from the inner regions of the asteroid belt, approximately 12 kilometers in diameter. The asteroid was discovered on 30 March 1955, by IU 's Indiana Asteroid Program at Goethe Link Observatory near Brooklyn, Indiana, United States. [ 12 ]
Asteroid impact prediction is the prediction of the dates and times of asteroids impacting Earth, along with the locations and severities of the impacts. The process of impact prediction follows three major steps: Discovery of an asteroid and initial assessment of its orbit which is generally based on a short observation arc of less than 2 weeks.
This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. As of December 2024, all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.
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More than one asteroid per year may be listed if its geocentric distance [note 1] is within a tenth of the lunar distance, or 0.10 LD. For comparison, since a satellite in a geostationary orbit has an altitude of about 36,000 km (22,000 mi), then its geocentric distance is 0.11 LD (approximately three times the width of the Earth).
Sample return mission headed for the 469219 Kamoʻoalewa asteroid. June (TBD) [2] [3] Long March 5B: Y5 Wenchang LC-1 Xuntian: Low Earth: CNSA: Space telescope: 2025 (TBD) [4] Long March 3B: Asteroid impacter: Heliocentric: CNSA: Asteroid redirect test Asteroid orbiter: Heliocentric: CNSA: Asteroid flyby Planetary defense mission headed for the ...
Due to Earth's escape velocity, the minimum impact velocity is 11 km/s with asteroid impacts averaging around 17 km/s on the Earth. [19] The most probable impact angle is 45 degrees. [19] Impact conditions such as asteroid size and speed, but also density and impact angle determine the kinetic energy released in an impact event.