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Real options valuation, also often termed real options analysis, [1] (ROV or ROA) applies option valuation techniques to capital budgeting decisions. [2] A real option itself, is the right—but not the obligation—to undertake certain business initiatives, such as deferring, abandoning, expanding, staging, or contracting a capital investment project. [3]
Fig. 1 Typical project cash flow with uncertainty. The mathematical equation for the DM Method is shown below. The method captures the real option value by discounting the distribution of operating profits at R, the market risk rate, and discounting the distribution of the discretionary investment at r, risk-free rate, before the expected payoff is calculated.
In mathematical finance, a Monte Carlo option model uses Monte Carlo methods [Notes 1] to calculate the value of an option with multiple sources of uncertainty or with complicated features. [1] The first application to option pricing was by Phelim Boyle in 1977 (for European options ).
The fuzzy pay-off method for real option valuation (FPOM or pay-off method) [1] is a method for valuing real options, developed by Mikael Collan, Robert Fullér, and József Mezei; and published in 2009. It is based on the use of fuzzy logic and fuzzy numbers for the creation of the possible pay-off distribution of a project (real
The trinomial tree is a lattice-based computational model used in financial mathematics to price options. It was developed by Phelim Boyle in 1986. It is an extension of the binomial options pricing model, and is conceptually similar. It can also be shown that the approach is equivalent to the explicit finite difference method for option ...
Binomial Lattice for equity, with CRR formulae Tree for an bond option returning the OAS (black vs red): the short rate is the top value; the development of the bond value shows pull-to-par clearly . In quantitative finance, a lattice model [1] is a numerical approach to the valuation of derivatives in situations requiring a discrete time model.
Monte Carlo option model, used in the valuation of options with complicated features that make them difficult to value through other methods. Real options analysis, where the BOPM is widely used. Quantum finance, quantum binomial pricing model. Mathematical finance, which has a list of related articles.
There are many pricing models in use, although all essentially incorporate the concepts of rational pricing (i.e. risk neutrality), moneyness, option time value and put–call parity. The valuation itself combines (1) a model of the behavior ( "process" ) of the underlying price with (2) a mathematical method which returns the premium as a ...