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Who’s ahead in the Iowa ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
The Iowa Poll, conducted Oct. 28-31, 2024, for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 808 Iowans ages 18 or older who say they ...
Uncertainty will decrease as we get closer to Election Day. We forecast the popular vote only for candidates polling at 5 percent or higher nationally, polling at 10 percent or higher in at least one state or who are on the ballot in almost every state. Since Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s withdrawal, only Harris and Trump meet these criteria, so we ...
Iowa has a mixed record in the last four presidential elections, breaking for Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, while Trump won it in 2016 and again in 2020. Ad Feedback. The new poll finds ...
In the final week before the 2020 election, Ms. Selzer released a poll of Iowa conducted with The Des Moines Register that showed Mr. Trump leading by seven points in the state.
Iowa Poll will show if Donald Trump or Kamala Harris has the edge before Election Day The Iowa Poll, a Register exclusive since 1943, is a closely watched indicator of candidate strength...
The Iowa Poll, the gold standard of political surveys in the Hawkeye State, showed Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 percentage points. It was a shocking ...