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FiveThirtyEight applied two separate models to forecast the 2016 presidential primary elections – polls-only and polls-plus models. The polls-only model relied only on polls from a particular state, while the polls-plus model was based on state polls, national polls and endorsements.
Just more than a week into their presidencies, Former President Joe Biden's was +21.8 and former President Barack Obama's approval rating was +46.9 points, FiveThirtyEight reported at the time.
ABC News project 538: This poll currently shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47.0% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.1%.
Poll source Date Sample size [a] MoE Approve Disapprove Unsure/ Other 538 aggregate: January 31 49% 44% 7% Napolitan/RMG Research: January 27–31 4,000 RV
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Voters are ...
Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point, according to an average of dozens of national opinion polls compiled by 538, a ...
The presidential race of 2024 is heating up, but who is leading? ... ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.5% over Trump 46.1% ... How accurate have election odds or ...