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Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages over former President Donald Trump — she wins in 57 in 100 simulations ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to Trump's 45.9% versus the very close Pennsylvania poll that has Harris at 47.8% and Trump at 47.3%
FiveThirtyEight applied two separate models to forecast the 2016 presidential primary elections – polls-only and polls-plus models. The polls-only model relied only on polls from a particular state, while the polls-plus model was based on state polls, national polls and endorsements.
Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Voters are ...
FiveThirtyEight. Harris: 47.9%. Trump: 47.0%. ... "With one day left in the 2024 campaign, the polls show one of the closest presidential elections in the history of American politics," Nate Cohn ...
2024 presidential election exit poll [495] Response category Trump Harris % of total vote Biden job approval Strongly disapprove 94 4 45 Somewhat disapprove 42 54 14 Somewhat approve 4 95 24 Strongly approve 1 98 15 Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. Angry 73 26 31 Dissatisfied 55 42 42 Satisfied 16 83 19 Enthusiastic 9 91 6
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...