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  2. Law of truly large numbers - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_truly_large_numbers

    For an event X that occurs with very low probability of 0.0000001% (in any single sample, see also almost never), considering 1,000,000,000 as a "truly large" number of independent samples gives the probability of occurrence of X equal to 1 − 0.999999999 1000000000 ≈ 0.63 = 63% and a number of independent samples equal to the size of the ...

  3. Event (probability theory) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Event_(probability_theory)

    An event, however, is any subset of the sample space, including any singleton set (an elementary event), the empty set (an impossible event, with probability zero) and the sample space itself (a certain event, with probability one). Other events are proper subsets of the sample space that contain multiple elements. So, for example, potential ...

  4. Birthday problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

    This conjunction of events may be computed using conditional probability: the probability of Event 2 is ⁠ 364 / 365 ⁠, as person 2 may have any birthday other than the birthday of person 1. Similarly, the probability of Event 3 given that Event 2 occurred is ⁠ 363 / 365 ⁠ , as person 3 may have any of the birthdays not already taken by ...

  5. Universal probability bound - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_probability_bound

    A degree of improbability below which a specified event of that probability cannot reasonably be attributed to chance regardless of whatever probabilitistic resources from the known universe are factored in. [1] Dembski asserts that one can effectively estimate a positive value which is a universal probability bound.

  6. Lewis's triviality result - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewis's_triviality_result

    Lewis (1976) pointed out a seemingly fatal problem with the above proposal: assuming a nontrivial set of events, the new, restricted class of -functions will not be closed under conditioning, the operation that turns probability function into new function () = (), predicated on event 's occurrence.

  7. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] This number is often expressed as a percentage (%), ranging from 0% to ...

  8. Probability space - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_space

    The probability measure is a set function returning an event's probability. A probability is a real number between zero (impossible events have probability zero, though probability-zero events are not necessarily impossible) and one (the event happens almost surely, with almost total certainty).

  9. 100 prisoners problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100_prisoners_problem

    In the initial problem, the 100 prisoners are successful if the longest cycle of the permutation has a length of at most 50. Their survival probability is therefore equal to the probability that a random permutation of the numbers 1 to 100 contains no cycle of length greater than 50. This probability is determined in the following.