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The ratio is calculated as =, where is the asset or portfolio average realized return, is the target or required rate of return for the investment strategy under consideration (originally called the minimum acceptable return MAR), and is the target semi-deviation (the square root of target semi-variance), termed downside deviation.
Downside risk (DR) is measured by target semi-deviation (the square root of target semivariance) and is termed downside deviation. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as standard deviation. An intuitive way to view downside risk is the annualized standard deviation of returns below the target.
Downside risk was first modeled by Roy (1952), who assumed that an investor's goal was to minimize his/her risk. This mean-semivariance, or downside risk, model is also known as “safety-first” technique, and only looks at the lower standard deviations of expected returns which are the potential losses.
The best measure is the standard deviation of the difference between the portfolio and index returns. Many portfolios are managed to a benchmark, typically an index. Some portfolios, notably index funds , are expected to replicate, before trading and other costs, the returns of an index exactly, while others ' actively manage ' the portfolio by ...
In financial mathematics, a deviation risk measure is a function to quantify financial risk (and not necessarily downside risk) in a different method than a general risk measure. Deviation risk measures generalize the concept of standard deviation .
The risk-free asset is the (hypothetical) asset that pays a risk-free rate. In practice, short-term government securities (such as US treasury bills) are used as a risk-free asset, because they pay a fixed rate of interest and have exceptionally low default risk. The risk-free asset has zero variance in returns if held to maturity (hence is ...
If investors can purchase a risk free asset with some return r F, then all correctly priced risky assets or portfolios will have expected return of the form = +where b is some incremental return to offset the risk (sometimes known as a risk premium), and σ P is the risk itself expressed as the standard deviation.
The upside-potential ratio is a measure of a return of an investment asset relative to the minimal acceptable return. The measurement allows a firm or individual to choose investments which have had relatively good upside performance, per unit of downside risk.