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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.
Maps and charts of HuffPost Pollster's election prediction model. Pollster Charts Embeddable, customizable charts combine thousands of aggregated opinion polls.
This is an Associated Press estimate of how much of the vote in an election has been counted. It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns.
Trump, 78, notched a 54% approval rating, one of his all-time highest, compared to about 46% who disapprove of him, an Emerson College poll found. Biden, 82, scored a 36% approval to 52% ...
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other/ Undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [29] October 22 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.0%: 45.8% 6.2% Biden +2.2: Real Clear Politics [30] October 25 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.9%: 47.0% 5.1% Biden +0.9 ...
Polls get things right most of the time, but problems crop up, generating headlines. How to tell the good from the bad, and how L.A. Times polls did this year.
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