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The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Dave McCormick in a major upset. [ 1 ]
According to statistician Nate Silver, the state's winner was estimated to have a 90% chance of winning the presidency. [3] Major news organizations marked it as a tossup in the lead-up to the election. [4] Trump won Pennsylvania with 50.4% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.7%, defeating her by a margin of roughly 1.7% and flipping the state ...
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 0.7% over Trump while in the Pennsylvania poll Trump leads over Harris by 0.4%; Arizona has Trump leading by 1.7%; Georgia has Trump leading by ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 0.6% over Trump while in the Pennsylvania poll Trump leads over Harris by only 0.2%; Arizona has Trump leading by 1.4%; Georgia has Trump ...
With 50 days until Election Day, Harris leads Trump, the Republican nominee, 49%-46% in Pennsylvania, a statewide poll of 500 likely Pennsylvania voters conducted from Wednesday to Sunday found ...
McCornick was able to flip the Senate seat after narrowly carrying the states by a margin of 16, 217 votes (0.24%), as of November 30. This was Pennsylvania's closest Senate election since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment, as well as the closest Senate election of the 2024 cycle. Most polls showed Casey to be the slight favorite to win.
2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9% 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50% to 48.8% Michigan - 15 electoral votes