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Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano to win his first term in office. Shapiro succeeded Democratic incumbent Tom Wolf, who was term limited.
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Pennsylvania. Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro is eligible to run for re-election to a second term but has not yet stated if he will do so. This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state ...
Can Donald Trump carry the battleground states on Election Day against Kamala Harris in presidential election? Today's polls and odds have shifted.
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Control of the White House, Congress and Pennsylvania Legislature hangs in the balance this year. Pennsylvania Voter Guide: The who, what, where & when of the 2024 election Skip to main content
The general election matchup between Republican Doug Mastriano and Democrat Josh Shapiro could become a referendum on Trump, Wolf and Biden. Here's how the governor race in Pennsylvania shapes up ...