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The odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth has jumped from more than 1% to 3% and back down to 1.5%. The chances of an asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 have changed. But what's the risk, really?
Update: The odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in 2032 have fallen to 1.5%, NASA announced Wednesday. ... it's the only one right now with any chance of hitting Earth anytime soon.
The highest estimate, by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, suggested a 3.1% chance the asteroid will hit Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, during a fleeting window of time in which the rock's orbit around ...
The odds that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit Earth in 2032 recently spiked from a little more than 1% to 2.3% as more observations are made. Odds of asteroid hitting Earth went up, but that was ...
Asteroid designation Date & time (UTC) of discovery Discoverer Estimated size Abs. mag. Date & time (UTC) of impact Warning time Location of impact Airburst altitude Energy Method of impact detection Reference 2008 TC 3: 2008-10-06 06:39 Mt. Lemmon Survey: 3.8–4.4 m (12–14 ft) 30.72: 2008-10-07 02:45 20:05: 20.9 N, 31.8 E Nubian Desert in ...
The chances of asteroid 2024 YR4’s odds of colliding with Earth in 2032 have dropped to nearly ... NASA estimates that the space rock has a 0.0017% chance of hitting Earth in December 2032 ...
While still an extremely low possibility, asteroid 2024 YR4's impact probability with Earth has increased from about 1% to a 2.3% chance on Dec. 22, 2032.
In December 2004 when Apophis was estimated to have a 2.7% chance of impacting Earth on 13 April 2029, the uncertainty region for this asteroid had shrunk to 82,818 km. [74] Response to predicted impact