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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
Moreover, between 2004 and 2020, the press and the campaigns dubbed 11 states “swing.” This year there were only seven. Over the last 20 years, there were never fewer than seven swing states ...
Pollsters likely will cheer this year’s results, which are not remotely as shocking as those of 2020 when, overall, the polls turned in their worst performance in 40 years.
In the last election, polls again predicted that Biden would win by large margins. Yet, his victory was slightly half of the electorate, with 51 percent of votes and 306 electoral votes —270 is ...
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
The American Association for Public Opinion Research postmortem following the 2020 election considered the possibility that polls underestimated Trump because his supporters responded less to ...