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The latest polling analysis from 538 gave Trump a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election versus 47 out of 100 for Kamala Harris. It also gave Republicans an 87-in-100 chance of taking the Senate ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
George Elliott Morris (born June 7, 1996) is an American data journalist who is best known for his work on election polling and predictive analytics. From 2018 to 2023, Morris was a data journalist for The Economist. In 2023, he became the editorial director of data analytics at ABC News including FiveThirtyEight.
The elections marked the first time since 1875 that Democrats won all districts along the Pacific Ocean. [17] This was the first time since 2004 that Republicans gained House seats in consecutive elections. Gerrymandering during the 2020 U.S. redistricting cycle had a significant impact on the 2022 election results. Republicans made gains as a ...
Presidential election live updates: ... Nationally, there are a total of 538 electoral votes, or electors, meaning a candidate needs to secure 270 to win. ... In 2022, Congress passed the ...
November 1, 2022 Inside Elections [12] Likely D November 3, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Likely D January 4, 2022 Politico [14] Lean D November 7, 2022 RCP [15] Lean D September 29, 2022 Fox News [16] Lean D October 25, 2022 DDHQ [17] Solid D November 3, 2022 538 [18] Likely D June 30, 2022 The Economist [19] Likely D September 28, 2022
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...