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  2. Box–Jenkins method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Box–Jenkins_method

    The original model uses an iterative three-stage modeling approach: Model identification and model selection: making sure that the variables are stationary, identifying seasonality in the dependent series (seasonally differencing it if necessary), and using plots of the autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) functions of the dependent time series to decide which (if any ...

  3. Time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_series

    If the answer is the time data field, then this is a time series data set candidate. If determining a unique record requires a time data field and an additional identifier which is unrelated to time (e.g. student ID, stock symbol, country code), then it is panel data candidate.

  4. X-13ARIMA-SEATS - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/X-13ARIMA-SEATS

    X-13ARIMA-SEATS, successor to X-12-ARIMA and X-11, is a set of statistical methods for seasonal adjustment and other descriptive analysis of time series data that are implemented in the U.S. Census Bureau's software package. [3]

  5. Mean absolute scaled error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_absolute_scaled_error

    This metric is well suited to intermittent-demand series (a data set containing a large amount of zeros) because it never gives infinite or undefined values [1] except in the irrelevant case where all historical data are equal. [3] When comparing forecasting methods, the method with the lowest MASE is the preferred method.

  6. Bayesian structural time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Bayesian_structural_time_series

    Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model is a statistical technique used for feature selection, time series forecasting, nowcasting, inferring causal impact and other applications. The model is designed to work with time series data. The model has also promising application in the field of analytical marketing. In particular, it can be used ...

  7. Tracking signal - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tracking_signal

    The tracking signal is then used as the value of the smoothing constant for the next forecast. The idea is that when the tracking signal is large, it suggests that the time series has undergone a shift; a larger value of the smoothing constant should be more responsive to a sudden shift in the underlying signal. [3]

  8. AOL Mail - AOL Help

    help.aol.com/products/aol-webmail

    Get answers to your AOL Mail, login, Desktop Gold, AOL app, password and subscription questions. Find the support options to contact customer care by email, chat, or phone number.

  9. Forecast error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forecast_error

    Download as PDF; Printable version; In other projects ... more accurate than those of "naive or sophisticated time-series models" nor have the errors been increasing ...