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Conversely, any economic quantity that is negatively correlated with the overall state of the economy is said to be countercyclical. [3] That is, quantities that tend to increase when the overall economy is slowing down are classified as 'countercyclical'. Unemployment is an example of a countercyclical variable. [4]
Government deficit spending is a central point of controversy in economics, with prominent economists holding differing views. [3]The mainstream economics position is that deficit spending is desirable and necessary as part of countercyclical fiscal policy, but that there should not be a structural deficit (i.e., permanent deficit): The government should run deficits during recessions to ...
By definition, the cyclical deficit will be entirely repaid by a cyclical surplus at the peak of the cycle. The structural deficit is the deficit that remains across the business cycle, because the general level of government spending exceeds prevailing tax levels. The observed total budget deficit is equal to the sum of the structural deficit ...
Cyclical stocks are closely linked to the macroeconomic conditions while non-cyclical, or defensive stocks, remain relatively unaffected by economic fluctuation. These types of stocks behave under ...
In economics, secular stagnation is a condition when there is negligible or no economic growth in a market-based economy. [1] [2] In this context, the term secular means long-term (from Latin "saeculum"—century or lifetime), and is used in contrast to cyclical or short-term. It suggests a change of fundamental dynamics which would play out ...
An economic depression is a period of carried long-term economic downturn that is the result of lowered economic activity in one or more major national economies. It is often understood in economics that economic crisis and the following recession that may be named economic depression are part of economic cycles where the slowdown of the economy follows the economic growth and vice versa.
An example of a counter-cyclical policy is raising taxes to cool the economy and to prevent inflation when there is abundant demand-side growth, and engaging in deficit spending on labour-intensive infrastructure projects to stimulate employment and stabilize wages during economic downturns.
Real macroeconomic output can be decomposed into a trend and a cyclical part, where the variance of the cyclical series derived from the filtering technique (e.g., the band-pass filter, or the most commonly used Hodrick–Prescott filter) serves as the primary measure of departure from economic stability.