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  2. Uncertainty quantification - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_quantification

    There are two major types of problems in uncertainty quantification: one is the forward propagation of uncertainty (where the various sources of uncertainty are propagated through the model to predict the overall uncertainty in the system response) and the other is the inverse assessment of model uncertainty and parameter uncertainty (where the ...

  3. Uncertainty analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_analysis

    In physical experiments uncertainty analysis, or experimental uncertainty assessment, deals with assessing the uncertainty in a measurement.An experiment designed to determine an effect, demonstrate a law, or estimate the numerical value of a physical variable will be affected by errors due to instrumentation, methodology, presence of confounding effects and so on.

  4. Uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty

    Uncertainty or incertitude refers to situations involving imperfect or unknown information. It applies to predictions of future events, to physical measurements that are already made, or to the unknown. Uncertainty arises in partially observable or stochastic environments, as well as due to ignorance, indolence, or both. [1]

  5. Quantification of margins and uncertainties - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantification_of_margins...

    Quantification of Margins and Uncertainty (QMU) is a decision support methodology for complex technical decisions. QMU focuses on the identification, characterization, and analysis of performance thresholds and their associated margins for engineering systems that are evaluated under conditions of uncertainty, particularly when portions of those results are generated using computational ...

  6. Propagation of uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propagation_of_uncertainty

    Any non-linear differentiable function, (,), of two variables, and , can be expanded as + +. If we take the variance on both sides and use the formula [11] for the variance of a linear combination of variables ⁡ (+) = ⁡ + ⁡ + ⁡ (,), then we obtain | | + | | +, where is the standard deviation of the function , is the standard deviation of , is the standard deviation of and = is the ...

  7. Ensemble forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_forecasting

    Model uncertainty arises due to the limitations of the forecast model. The process of representing the atmosphere in a computer model involves many simplifications such as the development of parametrisation schemes, which introduce errors into the forecast. Several techniques to represent model uncertainty have been proposed.

  8. Experimental uncertainty analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experimental_uncertainty...

    Experimental uncertainty analysis is a technique that analyses a derived quantity, based on the uncertainties in the experimentally measured quantities that are used in some form of mathematical relationship ("model") to calculate that derived quantity.

  9. Uncertainty theory (Liu) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_theory_(Liu)

    Definition 1: Let (,,) be an uncertainty space, and ,. Then the conditional uncertain measure of A given B is defined by Then the conditional uncertain measure of A given B is defined by