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Time series analysis comprises methods for analyzing time series data in order to extract meaningful statistics and other characteristics of the data. Time series forecasting is the use of a model to predict future values based on previously observed values.
Time series is included in the JEL classification codes as JEL: C22, C32 Wikimedia Commons has media related to Time series . The main article for this category is Time series .
In statistics, where classification is often done with logistic regression or a similar procedure, the properties of observations are termed explanatory variables (or independent variables, regressors, etc.), and the categories to be predicted are known as outcomes, which are considered to be possible values of the dependent variable.
For example, time series are usually decomposed into: , the trend component at time t, which reflects the long-term progression of the series (secular variation). A trend exists when there is a persistent increasing or decreasing direction in the data. The trend component does not have to be linear. [1]
A typical "Business Statistics" course is intended for business majors, and covers [71] descriptive statistics (collection, description, analysis, and summary of data), probability (typically the binomial and normal distributions), test of hypotheses and confidence intervals, linear regression, and correlation; (follow-on) courses may include ...
The CRAN task view on Time Series contains links to most of these. Mathematica has a complete library of time series functions including ARMA. [11] MATLAB includes functions such as arma, ar and arx to estimate autoregressive, exogenous autoregressive and ARMAX models. See System Identification Toolbox and Econometrics Toolbox for details.
For example, count data requires a different distribution (e.g. a Poisson distribution or binomial distribution) than non-negative real-valued data require, but both fall under the same level of measurement (a ratio scale). Various attempts have been made to produce a taxonomy of levels of measurement.
Also confidence coefficient. A number indicating the probability that the confidence interval (range) captures the true population mean. For example, a confidence interval with a 95% confidence level has a 95% chance of capturing the population mean. Technically, this means that, if the experiment were repeated many times, 95% of the CIs computed at this level would contain the true population ...