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  2. Numerical weather prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_weather_prediction

    The ENIAC main control panel at the Moore School of Electrical Engineering operated by Betty Jennings and Frances Bilas. The history of numerical weather prediction began in the 1920s through the efforts of Lewis Fry Richardson, who used procedures originally developed by Vilhelm Bjerknes [1] to produce by hand a six-hour forecast for the state of the atmosphere over two points in central ...

  3. Data assimilation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_assimilation

    Numerical weather prediction models are equations describing the evolution of the atmosphere, typically coded into a computer program. When these models are used for forecasting the model output quickly deviates from the real atmosphere. Hence, we use observations of the atmosphere to keep the model on track.

  4. Numerical response - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_response

    The numerical response in ecology is the change in predator density as a function of change in prey density. The term numerical response was coined by M. E. Solomon in 1949. [1] It is associated with the functional response, which is the change in predator's rate of prey consumption with change in prey density.

  5. History of numerical weather prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_numerical...

    Even with the increasing power of supercomputers, the forecast skill of numerical weather models only extends to about two weeks into the future, since the density and quality of observations—together with the chaotic nature of the partial differential equations used to calculate the forecast—introduce errors which double every five days ...

  6. Rapid Refresh (weather prediction) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Refresh_(weather...

    The Rapid Refresh (RR or RAP) is a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model. The model is designed to provide short-range hourly weather forecasts for North America. The Rapid Refresh was officially made operational on 1 May 2012, replacing the Rapid Update Cycle (RUC).

  7. Ensemble forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_forecasting

    Top: Weather Research and Forecasting model simulation of Hurricane Rita tracks. Bottom: The spread of National Hurricane Center multi-model ensemble forecast. Ensemble forecasting is a method used in or within numerical weather prediction. Instead of making a single forecast of the most likely weather, a set (or ensemble) of forecasts is produced.

  8. Weather forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_forecasting

    The global models are run at varying times into the future. The Met Office's Unified Model is run six days into the future, [55] the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model is run out to 10 days into the future, [56] while the Global Forecast System model run by the Environmental Modeling Center is run 16 days into the future. [57]

  9. National Centers for Environmental Prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Centers_for...

    Climate Prediction Center monitors and forecasts short-term climate fluctuations and provides information on the effects climate patterns can have on the nation. Environmental Modeling Center develops and improves numerical weather, climate, hydrological and ocean prediction through a broad program in partnership with the research community.