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Although polynomial regression fits a nonlinear model to the data, as a statistical estimation problem it is linear, in the sense that the regression function E(y | x) is linear in the unknown parameters that are estimated from the data. For this reason, polynomial regression is considered to be a special case of multiple linear regression. [1]
Consider a set of data points, (,), (,), …, (,), and a curve (model function) ^ = (,), that in addition to the variable also depends on parameters, = (,, …,), with . It is desired to find the vector of parameters such that the curve fits best the given data in the least squares sense, that is, the sum of squares = = is minimized, where the residuals (in-sample prediction errors) r i are ...
In the more general multiple regression model, there are independent variables: = + + + +, where is the -th observation on the -th independent variable.If the first independent variable takes the value 1 for all , =, then is called the regression intercept.
Local regression or local polynomial regression, [1] also known as moving regression, [2] is a generalization of the moving average and polynomial regression. [3] Its most common methods, initially developed for scatterplot smoothing, are LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing) and LOWESS (locally weighted scatterplot smoothing), both pronounced / ˈ l oʊ ɛ s / LOH-ess.
Polynomial models have moderate flexibility of shapes. Polynomial models are a closed family. Changes of location and scale in the raw data result in a polynomial model being mapped to a polynomial model. That is, polynomial models are not dependent on the underlying metric. Polynomial models are computationally easy to use.
The following outline is provided as an overview of and topical guide to regression analysis: Regression analysis – use of statistical techniques for learning about the relationship between one or more dependent variables (Y) and one or more independent variables (X).
Cubic, quartic and higher polynomials. For regression with high-order polynomials, the use of orthogonal polynomials is recommended. [15] Numerical smoothing and differentiation — this is an application of polynomial fitting. Multinomials in more than one independent variable, including surface fitting; Curve fitting with B-splines [12]
The main approaches for stepwise regression are: Forward selection, which involves starting with no variables in the model, testing the addition of each variable using a chosen model fit criterion, adding the variable (if any) whose inclusion gives the most statistically significant improvement of the fit, and repeating this process until none improves the model to a statistically significant ...