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(Reuters/Ipsos polling showed Harris leading Trump by 1 percentage point just ahead of the Nov. 5 election, in line with the 538 average of national polls.) (Reporting by Jason Lange in Washington ...
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
Based on 538’s latest analysis of presidential polls, Trump now has the barest advantage in the race, with a 52-in-100 chance to win. Two weeks ago, Harris had a 58-in-100 chance to win. Two ...
After this change, Harris was able to surpass Trump in most polls, but her advantage decreased while Election Day was approaching. Eventually, Trump won the Presidency after winning in the seven swing states ( Pennsylvania , Georgia , North Carolina , Michigan , Arizona , Wisconsin and Nevada ), and winning the popular vote for the first time ...
The count of the Electoral College ballots during a joint session of the 117th United States Congress, pursuant to the Electoral Count Act, on January 6–7, 2021, was held as the final step to confirm then President-elect Joe Biden's victory in the 2020 presidential election over incumbent President Donald Trump.
The 2021 election results were largely speculated as a prelude to an incoming red wave in the 2022 midterms, but large Republican gains ultimately failed to manifest in that election. The results were interpreted by some political commentators as a backlash against the policies of the Biden administration , [ 11 ] [ 12 ] or cultural liberalism ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.