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Variational inference; Approximate Bayesian computation; Estimators; Bayesian estimator; Credible interval; Maximum a posteriori estimation; Evidence approximation; Evidence lower bound; Nested sampling; Model evaluation; Bayes factor (Schwarz criterion) Model averaging; Posterior predictive; Mathematics portal
Variational Bayesian methods are a family of techniques for approximating intractable integrals arising in Bayesian inference and machine learning.They are typically used in complex statistical models consisting of observed variables (usually termed "data") as well as unknown parameters and latent variables, with various sorts of relationships among the three types of random variables, as ...
The reparameterization trick (aka "reparameterization gradient estimator") is a technique used in statistical machine learning, particularly in variational inference, variational autoencoders, and stochastic optimization.
Engine for Likelihood-Free Inference. ELFI is a statistical software package written in Python for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), also known e.g. as likelihood-free inference, simulator-based inference, approximative Bayesian inference etc. [83] ABCpy: Python package for ABC and other likelihood-free inference schemes.
Empirical Bayes methods can be seen as an approximation to a fully Bayesian treatment of a hierarchical Bayes model.. In, for example, a two-stage hierarchical Bayes model, observed data = {,, …,} are assumed to be generated from an unobserved set of parameters = {,, …,} according to a probability distribution ().
The likelihood estimate needs to be as large as possible; because it's a lower bound, getting closer improves the approximation of the log likelihood. By substituting in the factorized version of , (), parameterized over the hidden nodes as above, is simply the negative relative entropy between and plus other terms independent of if is defined as
Devising a good model for the data is central in Bayesian inference. In most cases, models only approximate the true process, and may not take into account certain factors influencing the data. [2] In Bayesian inference, probabilities can be assigned to model parameters. Parameters can be represented as random variables. Bayesian inference uses ...
To optimize this model, one needs to know two terms: the "reconstruction error", and the Kullback–Leibler divergence (KL-D). Both terms are derived from the free energy expression of the probabilistic model, and therefore differ depending on the noise distribution and the assumed prior of the data, here referred to as p-distribution.