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Convergence of Probability Measures is a graduate textbook in the field of mathematical probability theory. It was written by Patrick Billingsley and published by Wiley in 1968. A second edition in 1999 both simplified its treatment of previous topics and updated the book for more recent developments. [ 1 ]
Patrick Paul Billingsley (May 3, 1925 – April 22, 2011 [1] [2]) was an American mathematician and stage and screen actor, noted for his books in advanced probability theory and statistics. He was born and raised in Sioux Falls, South Dakota , and graduated from the United States Naval Academy in 1946.
For instance, a risk-neutral measure is a probability measure which assumes that the current value of assets is the expected value of the future payoff taken with respect to that same risk neutral measure (i.e. calculated using the corresponding risk neutral density function), and discounted at the risk-free rate.
If X n converges in probability to X, and if P(| X n | ≤ b) = 1 for all n and some b, then X n converges in rth mean to X for all r ≥ 1. In other words, if X n converges in probability to X and all random variables X n are almost surely bounded above and below, then X n converges to X also in any rth mean. [10] Almost sure representation ...
The concept of probability function is made more rigorous by defining it as the element of a probability space (,,), where is the set of possible outcomes, is the set of all subsets whose probability can be measured, and is the probability function, or probability measure, that assigns a probability to each of these measurable subsets .
Each of the probabilities on the right-hand side converge to zero as n → ∞ by definition of the convergence of {X n} and {Y n} in probability to X and Y respectively. Taking the limit we conclude that the left-hand side also converges to zero, and therefore the sequence {(X n, Y n)} converges in probability to {(X, Y)}.
Suppose the answer is 0.02 (i.e., 2%). Then, the probability that the bacterium dies between 5 hours and 5.001 hours should be about 0.002, since this time interval is one-tenth as long as the previous. The probability that the bacterium dies between 5 hours and 5.0001 hours should be about 0.0002, and so on.
Every set A with non-zero probability (that is, P(A) > 0) defines another probability measure = () on the space. This is usually pronounced as the "probability of B given A ". For any event A such that P ( A ) > 0 , the function Q defined by Q ( B ) = P ( B | A ) for all events B is itself a probability measure.