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  2. Overconfidence effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect

    The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. [1] [2] Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities.

  3. Dunning–Kruger effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect

    Some researchers also include the opposite effect for high performers: their tendency to underestimate their skills. In popular culture, the Dunning–Kruger effect is often misunderstood as a claim about general overconfidence of people with low intelligence instead of specific overconfidence of people unskilled at a particular task.

  4. Illusory superiority - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_superiority

    In social psychology, illusory superiority is a cognitive bias wherein people overestimate their own qualities and abilities compared to others. Illusory superiority is one of many positive illusions , relating to the self , that are evident in the study of intelligence , the effective performance of tasks and tests, and the possession of ...

  5. The Overconfidence Conversation - AOL

    www.aol.com/2013/01/16/the-overconfidence...

    Overconfidence is a very serious problem, but you probably think it doesn't affect you. That's the tricky thing with overconfidence: The people who are most overconfident are the ones least likely ...

  6. List of cognitive biases - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases

    In psychology and cognitive science, a memory bias is a cognitive bias that either enhances or impairs the recall of a memory (either the chances that the memory will be recalled at all, or the amount of time it takes for it to be recalled, or both), or that alters the content of a reported memory. There are many types of memory bias, including:

  7. List of psychological effects - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_psychological_effects

    Psychology portal; A list of 'effects' that have been noticed in the field of psychology. ... Overconfidence effect; Overjustification effect; Peltzman effect;

  8. Anchoring effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anchoring_effect

    Cognitive conceit or overconfidence arises from other factors like personal cognitive attributes such as knowledge and decision-making ability, decreasing the probability to pursue external sources of confirmation. This factor has also been shown to arise with tasks with greater difficulty.

  9. Thinking, Fast and Slow - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow

    It suggests that people often overestimate how much they understand about the world and underestimate the role of chance in particular. This is related to the excessive certainty of hindsight, when an event seems to be understood after it has occurred or developed. Kahneman's opinions concerning overconfidence are influenced by Nassim Nicholas ...