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The economic data published on FRED are widely reported in the media and play a key role in financial markets. In a 2012 Business Insider article titled "The Most Amazing Economics Website in the World", Joe Weisenthal quoted Paul Krugman as saying: "I think just about everyone doing short-order research — trying to make sense of economic issues in more or less real time — has become a ...
Sahm rule 1949-2024. In macroeconomics, the Sahm rule, or Sahm rule recession indicator, is a heuristic measure by the United States' Federal Reserve for determining when an economy has entered a recession. [1]
This is an alphabetical list of countries by past and projected gross domestic product (nominal) as ranked by the IMF. Figures are based on official exchange rates, not on the purchasing power parity (PPP) methodology.
Average hourly earnings rose by 0.2% month-over-month in July, down from the 0.3% pace in June. On a year-over-year basis, this metric is up 3.6%, the lowest rate since June 2021. Job openings fall .
The inverted yield curve—a recession indicator with a decades-long track record of accuracy—has evolved beyond serving as a warning of a future downturn and now sways the economy, its creator ...
The inverted yield curve indicator, which occurs when the yield on three-month Treasury bills exceeds the yield on 10-year notes, is a perfect 8-for-8 in preceding every recession since World War II.
Bank run on the Seamen's Savings Bank during the panic of 1857. There have been as many as 48 recessions in the United States dating back to the Articles of Confederation, and although economists and historians dispute certain 19th-century recessions, [1] the consensus view among economists and historians is that "the [cyclical] volatility of GNP and unemployment was greater before the Great ...
The Conference Board's Leading Credit Index, itself a composite index of six financial indicators, e.g. yield spreads and investor sentiment [4] The Institute for Supply Management ’s monthly ISM Index of Manufacturing including: supplier deliveries, imports, production, inventories, new orders, new export orders, order backlogs, prices and ...